IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.9	#343
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.7	#216
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.4	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.5%	2.6%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	10.3%	24.1%	6.9%
.500 or above in Conference	22.7%	35.3%	19.5%
Conference Champion	6.1%	10.7%	5.0%
Last Place in Conference	14.9%	7.9%	16.6%

First Four	1.4%	2.6%	1.1%
First Round	0.4%	1.0%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Neutral) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 4	7 - 13	7 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	301	Samford	L	71-80	20%
Nov 29, 2020	301	@ Samford	L	69-81	14%
Dec 05, 2020	17	@ Ohio St.	L	50-84	0.1%
Dec 16, 2020	277	@ North Alabama	L	63-76	12%
Dec 19, 2020	187	South Alabama	L	61-73	14%
Jan 02, 2021	300	Jackson St.	L	63-69	31%
Jan 04, 2021	316	Grambling St.	L	65-69	38%
Jan 09, 2021	348	@ Mississippi Valley	W	80-78	56%
Jan 11, 2021	338	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	60-65	33%
Jan 16, 2021	344	Alabama St.	W	68-64	63%
Jan 23, 2021	262	Southern	L	62-70	25%
Jan 25, 2021	334	Alcorn St.	L	70-71	48%
Jan 30, 2021	302	@ Prairie View	L	63-75	16%
Feb 01, 2021	237	@ Texas Southern	L	67-82	10%
Feb 06, 2021	348	Mississippi Valley	W	83-75	74%
Feb 08, 2021	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	63-62	53%
Feb 13, 2021	344	@ Alabama St.	L	65-67	43%
Feb 20, 2021	262	@ Southern	L	59-73	13%
Feb 22, 2021	334	@ Alcorn St.	L	68-74	30%
Feb 27, 2021	302	Prairie View	L	66-72	33%
Mar 01, 2021	237	Texas Southern	L	70-79	23%
Mar 04, 2021	300	@ Jackson St.	L	60-72	16%
Mar 06, 2021	316	@ Grambling St.	L	62-72	21%
Projected Record						7 - 16	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.4	1.1	1.4	1.4	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			6.1	1st
2nd								0.1	1.3	3.7	3.3	2.3	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0					12.2	2nd
3rd							0.0	1.1	4.3	3.3	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0							10.5	3rd
4th						0.0	0.6	3.8	3.8	0.5	0.1	0.0									8.8	4th
5th					0.0	0.3	2.8	4.1	0.8	0.0	0.0										8.1	5th
6th				0.0	0.1	2.0	5.3	2.0	0.0												9.4	6th
7th			0.0	0.1	1.6	5.5	3.3	0.3													10.8	7th
8th			0.1	1.9	5.5	4.4	0.5														12.5	8th
9th		0.3	2.5	5.5	3.7	0.8	0.0														12.7	9th
10th	0.9	2.8	3.3	1.6	0.2																8.9	10th

Total	0.9	3.1	5.9	9.2	11.2	12.9	12.6	11.2	10.2	7.9	5.7	4.1	2.5	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-3	89.6%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-4	85.4%	0.5		0.4	0.1
13-5	74.9%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
12-6	54.8%	1.4		1.0	0.4	0.0
11-7	33.6%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1
10-8	18.7%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0
9-9	4.6%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.7	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		24.3%	24.3%		15.8															0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		23.2%	23.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.2%		22.1%	22.1%		16.0																	0.1	0.2
14-4	0.6%		13.9%	13.9%		16.0																	0.1	0.5
13-5	1.5%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0																	0.2	1.4
12-6	2.5%		10.4%	10.4%		16.0																	0.3	2.2
11-7	4.1%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.2	3.9
10-8	5.7%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.2	5.6
9-9	7.9%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	7.8
8-10	10.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	10.0
7-11	11.2%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
6-12	12.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.5
5-13	12.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
4-14	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
3-15	9.2%																							9.2
2-16	5.9%																							5.9
1-17	3.1%																							3.1
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		1.5%	1.5%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	1.5	98.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.8%